UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders Punch Drunk Predictions

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders Punch Drunk Predictions

Since this is becoming the sole piece that I seem to write here from week-to-week (I’ll work on that, I promise), I’m going to skip the intro and get right to the goods.

Here are my picks for Saturday’s Fight Night event in Belem, Brazil.

Lyoto Machida vs. Eryk Anders

This just feels like a terrible matchup for Machida, who enters on a three-fight skid that includes getting crushed in his last fight pre-suspension and first fight post-suspension. Now he’s stepping in with an athletic, powerful emerging middleweight who actively campaigned for this exact assignment. When guys are calling you out and you’re on a three-fight losing streak, it’s usually means they think you’re easy prey and I think Anders takes full advantage of this pairing.

While he didn’t look nearly as impressive against Markus Perez as he did knocking out Rafael Natal in his promotional debut, Anders remains a promising prospect with top of the food chain potential. Machida is no longer the elusive, challenging puzzle he used to be inside the Octagon and as long as Anders keeps his chin tucked, he should be able to get inside and find a home for something sharp that puts “The Dragon” on the canvas once again.

Prediction: Eryk Anders

Valentina Shevchenko vs. Priscila Cachoeira

Cachoeira has a harrowing story and a sparkling resume, but it was fashion by running through scrubs on the regional circuit and against the skilled and experienced Shevchenko, the raw, aggressive striker is going to get lit all the way up.

Shevchenko should dominate from the outset and while she’s yet to show knockout power in the UFC, it wouldn’t surprise me one bit if she overwhelmed Cachoeira with counters early, got her backing up and finished her with a choke. This should be the showcase opportunity Shevchenko needs to punch her ticket to a title shot against flyweight champ Nicco Montano later this year.

Prediction: Valentina Shevchenko

Michel Prazares vs. Desmond Green

Prazares is a truck at lightweight and considering that he missed weight (by a considerable margin), I have a feeling we see him put those extra pounds and that additional strength to good use in a sluggish, grind’em out performance against Green.

This should be similar to Green’s last fight against Rustam Khabilov, which he lost by unanimous decision, as he was unable to nullify the Dagestani grappler’s abilities in the clinch and couldn’t muster enough meaningful offense in space to swing things in his favor. As much as I expect Prazares to fade down the stretch, he should be able to salt away the first two rounds and coast to a win from there.

Prediction: Michel Prazares

Timothy Johnson vs. Marcelo Golm

Johnson has the kind of grappling abilities that could turn what should be a chance for Golm to shine at home in Brazil into an upset that doesn’t help anyone, like when he beat Marcin Tybura, but the more likely scenario is the unbeaten 25-year-old Brazilian stinging him with strikes and finishing him inside the distance. It will probably take more effort and energy than he was forced to expend in his debut win over Christian Colombo, but the outcome should ultimately be the same.

Prediction: Marcelo Golm

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Marlon Vera

Vera is one of those guys that everyone roots for and wants to see succeed, but he hasn’t quite been able to put it all together as of yet. Just when you think he’s figured things out and is ready to take the next step forward in his development, the UFC drops him in against John Lineker, he gets blanked on the scorecards and you realize he’s not quite ready for prime time and may not ever get this.

This is a chance to get another read on where he stands as DSDA is a tough, durable veteran with plenty of experience under his belt and similar results in the UFC. He tends to be a little wild and run out of gas the later the fight goes, so as long as Vera keeps it clean and simple, he should be able to land from the outside and look to capitalize on any openings that are presented.

Prediction: Marlon Vera

Thiago Santos vs. Anthony Smith

You have to give Smith props for being a tough cuss who has hung around, worked his way back to the big stage and put up a trio of impressive performances, but this feels like one of those fights where you come away thinking, “Man, they really didn’t do right by him, throwing him in there like that with Santos.”

Because Thiago Santos is a bad man.

These two are going to come out swinging for the fences and while both carry home run power, Santos is the quicker of the two and mixes things up much better than Smith and I’m thinking he’ll land something filthy that shuts the lights off in a hurry.

Prediction: Thiago Santos

Preliminary Card Picks

Tim Means def. Sergio Moraes
Damir Hadzovic def. Alan Patrick
Polyana Viana def. Maia Stevenson
Joe Soto def. Iuri Alcantara
Joseph Morales def. Deiveson Figueiredo

2018 Prediction Record: 23-11-0 (.676)

 

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